Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185 0.000205 0.000227 0.000252 0.000281
2025-03-23 0.000120 0.000144 0.000171 0.000205 0.000246 0.000296 0.000361
2025-03-30 0.000105 0.000132 0.000166 0.000211 0.000271 0.000348 0.000456
2025-04-06 0.000089 0.000118 0.000154 0.000206 0.000279 0.000378 0.000525
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000104 0.000141 0.000196 0.000276 0.000391 0.000572
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000097 0.000136 0.000197 0.000289 0.000426 0.000654
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000093 0.000135 0.000201 0.000306 0.000470 0.000756
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000087 0.000130 0.000200 0.000314 0.000501 0.000840
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000084 0.000127 0.000201 0.000327 0.000540 0.000943
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000079 0.000123 0.000200 0.000334 0.000569 0.001034
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000075 0.000120 0.000199 0.000342 0.000601 0.001133
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000196 0.000347 0.000627 0.001225
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000065 0.000108 0.000188 0.000340 0.000634 0.001280
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000189 0.000352 0.000677 0.001424
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000062 0.000107 0.000195 0.000375 0.000746 0.001638
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000058 0.000102 0.000191 0.000376 0.000769 0.001751
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000181 0.000365 0.000765 0.001796
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000182 0.000375 0.000810 0.001975
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000051 0.000094 0.000186 0.000393 0.000876 0.002221
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000049 0.000091 0.000185 0.000400 0.000915 0.002401
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000186 0.000413 0.000971 0.002643
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000045 0.000088 0.000185 0.000419 0.001011 0.002846
2025-08-17 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000184 0.000426 0.001054 0.003071